These are real trades in real time with real money on the line. My goal is to share my real trading life. How I'm entering, managing, and exiting real swing trades. Sharing tactics, trade-offs, and emotions. A "swing trade" is a multi-day trade. I hope to educate traders who started their journey after I did. I also hope to meet some new friends.
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
ULTA looking bearish
Here's what I see that makes me bearish on ULTA as of 8:45am 1/23/18:
Double Top
Bounce off 200 SMA
Evening star candle pattern
Close below 8ema
Doji gap down on stronger volume
I'm looking to get a Vertical Put Spread today if we start going further down, assuming there's a decent bid/ask spread. Looking at 230/220 and 230/210 Feb and Mar expiration. However, its more risky to enter this trade before we get a close below the up channel. So, I'll go in light before a close below the channel and add to my position after. It would be safer to wait to enter the trade at all until we do get a close below the channel.
Targeting the 50% Fib retracement which is close to the 50 SMA (in red) around 220.
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