These are real trades in real time with real money on the line. My goal is to share my real trading life. How I'm entering, managing, and exiting real swing trades. Sharing tactics, trade-offs, and emotions. A "swing trade" is a multi-day trade. I hope to educate traders who started their journey after I did. I also hope to meet some new friends.
Wednesday, April 8, 2015
AAPL wedge irresistible
AAPL is in a wedge since the beginning of March. Got May 130/140 Call, 120/110 Put Condor for $4.25. AAPL Earnings Report is 4/27/15. Would have gotten a 30 Delta Strangle but IV is a little high relative to past 12 mo. The literature says these wedges (aka triangles) break out around 65-75% the way to the apex. We look to be right about there.
I thought the FOMC minutes release at 2:00pm ET today might have moved the stock, but it was a non-event. AAPL might continue to tighten up into the apex around 125 until its Earnings Report, if it doesn't break out before hand.
Having spreads instead of a long Strangle should help with Theta decay as well as the previously mentioned somewhat elevated IV.
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