These are real trades in real time with real money on the line. My goal is to share my real trading life. How I'm entering, managing, and exiting real swing trades. Sharing tactics, trade-offs, and emotions. A "swing trade" is a multi-day trade. I hope to educate traders who started their journey after I did. I also hope to meet some new friends.
Thursday, June 4, 2020
July Soybeans Possible Breakout Exit
Target hit! Our target was 869 at the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The precise Fib number is 869 1/2 but we usually shade the target by 2 ticks to account for the Bid/Ask spread and sometimes targets are missed by just 1 or 2 ticks.
I think this chart can go a little higher or maybe even a lot higher. But we closed above the upper Bollinger Band, on high volume, and overbought Stochastics. Plus we're close to a previous swing high on 4/13/20 that we haven't approached before. And the 50% Fib is itself a typical level for a rejection. All these indications are saying don't be a pig. Remember Bulls make money, Bears make money, but Pigs get slaughtered.
So I let the target take us out and captured the profits, and thereby also removed the risk. The plan now is to wait for a pull back to hit bottom and start to reverse back up, then evaluate the situation and decide if there's a trade worth the risk.
Profits are 869 - 847 1/4 = 21 3/4 points *$50/pt = $1,087.50
Very nice win!
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