Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Shorted Dec Corn


Daily


Weekly


Dec Corn setup a short trade. Entered using the YC contract, to control risk, at the close at 401. Here's what I saw on today's Daily chart:

  • Shooting star candle pattern.
  • High stochastics.
  • High volume.
  • Doji gap down candle pattern.
  • Close under 8ema.
  • Close near bottom of candle.
  • Bounce off weekly contract high (see Weekly chart above). 
Target is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the green range, which coincides with the 38.2% Fib retracement of the yellow range, which is 384. Actual target is set to 384 1/4 to account for Bid/Ask spread and slippage.

Stop is 415 1/2 which is just over today's high.

Risk: 401 - 415 1/2 = -14 1/2 * $10/pt = -$145.00
Reward: 401 - 384 1/4 = 16 3/4 * $10/pt = $167.50
R:R 167.50/145 = 1:1.16 not very good but acceptable given a high probability setup.

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