Showing posts with label TSLA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TSLA. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 4, 2021

TSLA Daily Bullish Gartley - Exit

First I sent this Tweet:




Then this one:


Then price dropped some more and I bailed. The whole equity market was/is due for a significant correction, and the routine incursions of China's military planes into Taiwan's airspace was being used as an excuse. But who knows, it could be a serious issue that the big boys have inside information about. Either way, there's no telling how bad this sell off might be. Selling on a new low was the right call.

By the end of the day the chart looked like this:



By the market close, price had reversed back up to a much more advantageous level from which to exit. Very frustrating. But had we waited until the end of the day, price could have dropped so far down as to become worthless until expiration. 

Holding until the end of the day is often a good move, and I've done it many times. I'm sure there are blog posts here where I did just that. But today was different in that there was a worry about war breaking out when the equity markets are in a huge bubble. The prudent thing to do was give the position a chance to recover but exit on any weakness, while we still could. Which is exactly what we did.

Anyway, here's the damage:

TSLA May 7th 720/725 Call Spread: .47 - 2.00 = -$153.

TSLA May 7th 730/735 Call Spread: .31 - 1.68 = -$137.

Net loss -$290.


Monday, May 3, 2021

TSLA Daily Bullish Gartley - Update 1



Today was a difficult decision whether to hold the position or exit. We didn't follow through to the upside. In fact, we had a little gap down, then continued down, and formed a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. We closed under the 8ema, and Stochastics are not yet oversold. Also, yesterday we didn't close over the 8ema, so we're into this trade decidedly early. All this is Bearish and a good basis to exit the position, which is now underwater by about $240.

But, on the other hand, Monday's are a bit squirrely and deceptive, as far as price action. We may be just doing a retracement after a big move on Friday and have a "turnaround Tuesday" tomorrow. Also in favor of holding is last Friday's bounce off the AB/CD completion at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of XA. And we found support on the 50sma.

Since we have a fixed risk, thanks to using options, I decided to give this trade a chance to recover tomorrow, and held the full position. If things look bearish tomorrow as well, we probably need to close this trade.