Wednesday, June 22, 2022

JNJ No Tears Gartley Pattern - Update 1

JNJ Daily


Great day for our JNJ trade. Got a big candle on big volume with a Close above the 20sma. We bounced off the 50sma, which is a concern, but we've breached it many times before.

We made a higher high and a higher low. The ADX made a bullish cross. Stochastics are still in the mid-range, so no selling pressure from that.

We hit the .5AD level, which is constructive, and we closed in the upper half of today's candle.

The Aug 175 Call option, for which we paid 3.52, had a high today of 7.60. That's better than a double. The voice in my head was quite disappointed when I didn't succumb and sell the option to capture the profits. Especially since I've had trades where I exercised discipline and held out for the target, but the chart reversed the next day and I ended up with much less profit, or worse.

But it looks like we only need one more green candle and we'll hit our 179 target. Plus everything looks bullish for this trade. 

So, bottom line, I held the line and held our position for another 3 points. Looking at the option chain, it looks like between today's stock close 175.74 and our Target 179, we'll get an average Delta of about 60. So, if we hit the Target, the additional profit would be approximately 3.25 * 60% * 100 = $195. 

Seems like holding the position is the smarter trade, albeit the more uncomfortable one.


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